Monday, December 18, 2017

140) Chinese New Year Rally in FBM-KLCI?

140) Is there Chinese New Year Rally in FBM-KLCI?





We had analyzed that a December rally is highly possible in FBM-KLCI.

However, do we have similar rally for Chinese New Year period from 1 January to 28 February every year?

Let's find out with the historical data. The red vertical line is the estimated last trading day before the Chinese New Year holidays.


 FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2018.




FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2017.



FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2016.


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2015.


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2014.


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2013.


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2012.   


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2011.


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2010.

FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2009.   

FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2008. 


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2007. 


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2006. 

 FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2005. 


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2004. 


FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2003. 



FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2002. 



FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2001. 


 FBM-KLCI from 1 Jan to 28 Feb 2000.



Below is the summary of FBM-KLCI index performance from 1 Jan to 28 Feb every year from 2000 to 2018. 


As a conclusion, there is NO obvious pattern on the FBM-KLCI performance. From the records, 13 years with positive returns and another 6 years with negative returns.

So, how will KLCI perform for January to February 2019?
 

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